KY-Vox Populi (R): Paul leads Edelen

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

What Democrats will try to do here in the event of an Edelen candidacy is try to distract Republican monies and have some wave insurance. Edelen will probably manage both quite respectably, but we're not very likely to hear "Senator Edelen".

Senator Edelen can win this race. Look what happened in OH, Portman was safe, poll after poll have given Strickland the lead. Sen majority will be nice with pickups in OH/KY, FL, NH, WI & IL.

You realize the election in Ohio is more than a year from now, that Portman has way outraised Strickland, and that many prognosticators still have Ohio as Leans R, right?

In any case, even if all the races you list go Democratic, the Democratic Senate majority won't be "nice"; it'll be an exceedingly narrow 52-48 and probably doomed once elections happen in IN/MO/MT/ND in 2018.

QUINNIPIAC the best pollster in the business has had Strickland ahead in every poll, 5 polls. I believe Hillary will win OH and Va.  The prognosticators is basing their predictions that Clinton will win 272 blue wall. But, Hillary polls better in Va and OH than CO.

Only Joe Donnelly is doomed in IN as I see right now. And Ross Miller can certainly run for NV senate.

But even if Dems lose their Senate majority, 2020 wont be kind to GOP because Dems are gonna pick up govs from term limite GOP govs in 2018, especially in IL, WI & MI, and finally lead in reapportionment.

Donnelly is certainly the underdog, but I think "doomed" is too strong a word, especially considering the election is still three years off. He's taken standard "blue dog" positions on gun control, Keystone, and immigration, which should help him with swing voters; meanwhile, his support for gay marriage (in contrast to most of the state GOP) should keep liberals enthused (and might poach some business conservatives as well). His only questionable position from a reelection standpoint was his vote for the Iran deal, but the fact that Lugar endorsed the deal should soften the blow somewhat. If the GOP nominates a divisive Tea Partier in 2018 (there's been talk that State Senator Mike Delph, who almost lost to his Democratic opponent in Hamilton County last year after blaming religious leaders for creating a "godless culture," might run), he just might pull it off.