Primary bellwether states

[catographer]

I'm a bit skeptical of how much looking at bellwether states helps us predict or learn about nominees. If you look at general election bellwethers, they are pretty consistent in certain party system eras, but if you go back far enough there won't be a single state or county left that's voted for every future President. The same applies even more to primaries, since the voting coalitions within parties don't vote very consistently and that we have very few samples to pick from since the creation of party primary elections.