Yeah, obviously Democrats will win this easily if Weak Candidate Gianforte wins instead of Titanium Recruit Tim Fox. It's not like Gianforte's won statewide twice in the past couple of years...
And he totally didn't win in a D favored special election the day after he bodyslammed a reporter, nor did he win in a D+9 Democratic wave year or anything.
Yes, but on the other hand (different state to be sure) David Vitter did get reelected to the U.S Senate, but the same issues that the people of Louisiana seemingly didn't care about when they reelected him to the U.S Senate, were issues that contributed to his defeat when he ran for Governor.
It may be that in the end people want somebody they can have respect for as Governor, and maybe not so much as 1 of 100 Senators. Of course, Trump was elected, but he may have been the exception that later proves the rule.