2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[136or142]

Who thought PA-10 was safe R? lol

Lol right? Obama got 49% in 2008 and Trump only got 52%. This could be a reach seat.

Last time I checked though George Scott's fundraising wasn't all that great.  So, I think that's why this result is a surprise.

[136or142]

Who thought PA-10 was safe R? lol

Lol right? Obama got 49% in 2008 and Trump only got 52%. This could be a reach seat.

Last time I checked though George Scott's fundraising wasn't all that great.  So, I think that's why this result is a surprise.

He won the primary despite being outraised by I think two of his opponents, but he also had a much higher percentage of donations from people living in the district than his primary opponents. He's a really good fit for this district, and that matters.

If he doesn't pick up in fundraising he'll likely be buried by his Republican opponent.

[136or142]

I don't know if anybody has written something like this before me, but it looks to be clearer and clearer.

Given the way the polls in individual Congressional (House) districts look partially due to the gerrymandering, I think it is more likely the Democrats will gain 20-30 seats or 50-70 seats than 30-50 seats.

[136or142]

Remington has Donovan up 47/40 in NY-11.

I could see Grimm with the upset quite easily

My King, is that the best you could come up with?  Since this is a Remington Poll, how about "looks like this race will be a close shave!"