NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (user search)
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  NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17%  (Read 8939 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« on: February 17, 2016, 06:11:48 AM »

LOL JEB AT 1%

And wow on the Dem side.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2016, 06:19:10 AM »

It sounds like Sanders is doing well amongst whites and Hispanics from the numbers here, but once again #WEDEMANDCROSSTABS
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2016, 06:33:58 AM »

I'd prefer some more reputable pollster.
Let's not forget that CNN showed Sanders beating Clinton by 10 points a few days before Iowa.

TBF, it's really hard to poll caucuses because of how they're set up, but this fits in line with how tight Nevada has become in recent weeks
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2016, 07:08:23 AM »

IIRC, the real Iowa result had Sanders make a net gain of four points compared to the final RCP average for the state, and Sanders overperformed his final RCP average in New Hampshire by eight net points. Hopefully this means that pollsters have a knack for overpolling Clinton supporters and underpolling Sanders supporters, which could actually translate to a slight lead for him in the real result (even if it's already ORC).

It'll also depend on how energized people are in Nevada if he can manage to perform as well as he does with young people and tighten the margins with AA's and tie or outright win the Hispanic voter he will win Nevada.
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