primary/caucus day weather thread (user search)
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  primary/caucus day weather thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: primary/caucus day weather thread  (Read 1801 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« on: January 28, 2016, 09:06:34 AM »

Des Moines forecast for Monday, according to weather.com:

https://weather.com/weather/5day/l/USIA0231:1:US

High temp of 37 degrees F, low of 20.

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During the evening:

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It's not blizzard sub-zero this year so expect much higher turnout
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2016, 11:25:19 AM »

Snow will likely be better for Sanders and Cruz.

If the assumption is that snow reduces the number of first time caucus goers, then it would help Clinton and Cruz, bigger turnout helps Sanders and Trump.


WaPo has a weather tracker article being updated with a map
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/25/your-real-time-iowa-caucus-weather-tracker/

City   2008 Dem winner   2012 R winner   High   Low   Evening   Weather
Adel   Obama, (35)   Romney, (33.38)   29°   24°   28°   Snow (snow)
Ames   Obama, (40.28)   Romney, (26.02)   29°   24°   28°   Snow (snow)
Cedar Rapids   Obama, (42.6)   Romney, (28.97)   31°   26°   30°   Snow (light snow)
Council Bluffs   Clinton, (42.2)   Romney, (26.57)   35°   23°   30°   Snow (snow)
Davenport   Obama, (48.29)   Romney, (33.56)   33°   28°   32°   Snow (light snow)
Des Moines   Obama, (39.33)   Romney, (28.43)   29°   24°   28°   Snow (snow)
Dubuque   Obama, (36.07)   Romney, (31.54)   37°   28°   32°   Rain (light rain)
Iowa City   Obama, (52.34)   Romney, (34.3)   31°   26°   30°   Snow (light snow)
Orange City   Obama, (37.33)   Santorum, (45.56)   24°   18°   23°   Snow (light snow)
Sioux City   Clinton, (36.47)   Santorum, (32.84)   27°   19°   26°   Snow (light snow)
Waterloo   Obama, (42.62)   Paul, (23.91)   31°   26°   30°   Snow (light snow)

I guess we'll just have to wait and see, logically being Floridian I wouldn't go out if this was the weather, but Iowans don't seem fazed by this kind of weather so I would be surprised if this hampered turnout
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