krazen Republicans basically: the more conservative "Establishment" Republicans and the more pragmatic elements of the Tea Party that emphasize economic issues while holding social conservative stances and a hawkish foreign policy.
This, plus a few libertarians and more moderate Republicans who want to cut spending.
Given his more recent hawkish statements about Iraq and ISIS, I don't think libertarians will vote for him.
Perhaps, though I think a few may anyways. Prior to those comments, he probably was on better footing with libertarians (my opinion of him has sunk since them). Personally, I hope the GOP nominates an electable moderate like Kasich at this point; he's pretty much our only hope.
Kasich probably would be a good candidate, my only concern is that he would split the vote with Bush/Christie who ever else counts as moderate and allow a more extreme candidate to win. I mean I am team Rand for the primary, but I am willing to vote for who ever is the nominee, unless it's Cruz or Santorum/Huckabee.