FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8

[Roronoa D. Law]

It's amazing how inflated Republican support has been in Arizona.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Been saying for a while now that AZ is the most likely Trump -> Biden flip this year (and this isn’t even a state where Ds tend to underpoll, which makes it even worse for him(.

I tend to agree, though it's a bit of a tossup between AZ and NE2 for me. I could easily see a Rust Belt state or two having a wider margin than those, but I feel like they might be the surest flips.

Dave Wasserman has been saying for a while that NE-2 is Biden's most likely flip, even more than Michigan.

Yes, I don't know why people forget that while he did win the district Trump did worse in NE02 than Mccain.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Arizona (apparently) trending D faster than Virginia did is under-discussed

Back under Obama, it was VA/NC/GA that were zooming leftwards now they're being left behind by CO/AZ/TX.

[Roronoa D. Law]

There a good chance NC Dems have full control next year.