Republicans have unified control now so this will likely be a 7-1 map. I think what most Democrats are interested in is how they draw the districts in the KCMO and St. Louis suburbs. Since Clay, Platte, and maybe St Charles are likely to flip this decade.
MUH suburb TRENDING D FOREVER. Platte is incredibly small and barely swung D and Clay/St Charles swung R by a decent amount, along with Jefferson county MO where Trump got 65% of the vote, anyone educated in the Kansas city side will live in Johnson county Kansas.
Platte and Clay are much more educated than Jefferson. They are also located in metro area that is growing and performing relatively well economically. I have stated on this forum before that the biggest divide on which counties will trend D and which will trend R is similar to the dynamics of the Greater Detroit area. Counties that are diverse and prosperous like Oakland will trend D and counties like Macomb will trend R. Platte and Clay are good communities and much cheaper than Johnson county which is attractive to college-educated people so yes I believe it will trend D. I think them trending towards Trump in 2016 is likely due Obama overperformance and the country at large trending R.
