onward to 2010 (because it's never too early) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 07:46:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  onward to 2010 (because it's never too early) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: onward to 2010 (because it's never too early)  (Read 7725 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,576


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« on: March 16, 2019, 09:04:05 PM »

Much like all our predictions, this one will look laughable two years from now.  Smiley

When was the last time this wasn't true lol
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,576


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2019, 09:16:17 PM »

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,576


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2019, 10:38:24 PM »

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well

Go back to the RRH prediction thread in 2012 for a real laugh

Also if anything, OP’s predictions were fairly good all things considered. Who else would have thought WI, ND and IL would be potential Democratic losses right after Obama’s landslide

I get WI ,IL but ND made no sense at all .

ND has been a solidly Republican state since 1940 (Only voted Dem in 1964)

And even at the state level the GOP controlled  the Governor Mansion for the previous 20/28 years before 2008 so in a midterm environment that would be the first state to go


I even get the AR prediction since with the exception of Huckabee the state gop was a joke even in 2008


Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,576


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2019, 11:16:58 PM »

Really dumb to bump a 10 year old thread but laughed at the OP having Arkansas as solid D. “Arkansas GOP LOL”

Sometimes its fun to do this, as the election is almost two years away and its fun to look back at these threads.

VA 2006 predictions in late 05 early 2006 look hilarious as well

Go back to the RRH prediction thread in 2012 for a real laugh

Also if anything, OP’s predictions were fairly good all things considered. Who else would have thought WI, ND and IL would be potential Democratic losses right after Obama’s landslide

I get WI ,IL but ND made no sense at all .

ND has been a solidly Republican state since 1940 (Only voted Dem in 1964)

And even at the state level the GOP controlled  the Governor Mansion for the previous 20/28 years before 2008 so in a midterm environment that would be the first state to go


I even get the AR prediction since with the exception of Huckabee the state gop was a joke even in 2008




There was little reason to assume at that point in time that polarization would be so strong in states like ND to wipe him out in even a bad D midterm. In the last bad D midterm before that, Democratic Senators won re-election in states like Nebraska and North Dakota.

Well out of all the seats they held it was by far the most likely of the ones they would have lost(unless Huckabee ran in 2010)
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,576


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2019, 11:29:16 PM »

The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot

Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable

Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable

AR was still super D-Downballot in 2006 and 2008, the GOP got obliterated in both those years in AR. Dems I believe had control of over 70% of both house of the state legislature, every state wide office , both seante seats and 3 of the 4 house seats.


The GOP didnt run anyone in the 2008 senate race because no Republican thought they had a shot of coming close to winning(even when polling showed McCain crushing Obama there) .


Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 10 queries.