The fact that they AR as Safe D is laughable, because the last time you could accurately assess an AR senate race was in 2004, when it was still D-downballot
Also not considering Dorgan’s retirement is laughable
Also the idea that Arlen Specter was required to win in PA is laughable
AR was still super D-Downballot in 2006 and 2008, the GOP got obliterated in both those years in AR. Dems I believe had control of over 70% of both house of the state legislature, every state wide office , both seante seats and 3 of the 4 house seats.
The GOP didnt run anyone in the 2008 senate race because no Republican thought they had a shot of coming close to winning(even when polling showed McCain crushing Obama there) .