Anti-establishment turmoil: Most democratic world leaders have a negative approval ratings net (user search)
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  Anti-establishment turmoil: Most democratic world leaders have a negative approval ratings net (search mode)
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Author Topic: Anti-establishment turmoil: Most democratic world leaders have a negative approval ratings net  (Read 1527 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: June 21, 2023, 12:14:29 PM »

It's insane how high Modi's approvals are 9 years in
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,553


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2023, 03:13:08 PM »

It's insane how high Modi's approvals are 9 years in
Yeah I was surprised too.
Maybe this is way too early to guess anything, but Modi really is the new Indira Gandhi in how popular he has been in an enduring way despite having been on the scene for such a long time.
Anti-incumbency? What anti-incumbency?

Modi like Indira does have a cult of personality too . When I last visited India , you could see his picture almost everywhere (on rickshaws , on stores , one restaurants etc) and one time a rickshaw driver in an unprompted manner start telling me how great he is when he passed by a building that had his photo .  When I visited India prior to Modi , you almost never saw a photo of the Prime Minister anywhere and people generally seemed to hate politicians regardless of party .

I would say a lot of this has to do with the rise of social media . Prior to the mid 2010s , very few people had access to Wi-Fi and that included many UMC Indians too while now the vast majority of street vendors have access to a smart phone and a data plan . That means far far more people have access to social media in a way that didn’t exist before and Modi and the BJP have been absolutely masterful in their usage of social media and smart phones in general that has allowed him to control the narrative in unprecedented ways .

An example of this , is that Modi has created an app for himself where the BJP is able to push Modi message on a daily basis , give their interpretation of the daily news and even respond to what unfriendly media outlets post too and I have seen family members use it . It’s insanely effective and that’s probably a huge part of his success.

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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,553


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2023, 03:53:40 PM »

It's insane how high Modi's approvals are 9 years in
Yeah I was surprised too.
Maybe this is way too early to guess anything, but Modi really is the new Indira Gandhi in how popular he has been in an enduring way despite having been on the scene for such a long time.
Anti-incumbency? What anti-incumbency?

Modi like Indira does have a cult of personality too . When I last visited India , you could see his picture almost everywhere (on rickshaws , on stores , one restaurants etc) and one time a rickshaw driver in an unprompted manner start telling me how great he is when he passed by a building that had his photo .  When I visited India prior to Modi , you almost never saw a photo of the Prime Minister anywhere and people generally seemed to hate politicians regardless of party .

I would say a lot of this has to do with the rise of social media . Prior to the mid 2010s , very few people had access to Wi-Fi and that included many UMC Indians too while now the vast majority of street vendors have access to a smart phone and a data plan . That means far far more people have access to social media in a way that didn’t exist before and Modi and the BJP have been absolutely masterful in their usage of social media and smart phones in general that has allowed him to control the narrative in unprecedented ways .

An example of this , is that Modi has created an app for himself where the BJP is able to push Modi message on a daily basis , give their interpretation of the daily news and even respond to what unfriendly media outlets post too and I have seen family members use it . It’s insanely effective and that’s probably a huge part of his success.


How long until, you think, he can be considered to have racked up more electoral victories (taking into account both scale and numerical general victories) than Indira?

He’d need to stay in power till May 2030 to surpass Indira in tenure as PM and if he stays in power till May of 2031 he’d even surpass Nehru to become the longest serving PM in general . Also keep in mind Indira did lose an election before coming back so if Modi wins again , then he’d almost certainly surpass her in consecutive years spent as PM (though he’d still need to be in till 2031 to surpass Nehru in that ).

The BJP may very well keep him as leader till then because post Modi there likely will be major issues in the party between Moderates who want the BJP to be more like they were under Vajpayee and the hardliners who don’t think Modi has gone far enough and support people like Yogi . Modi being the realigning leader gets the benefit of being the leader who brought the party to the promised land so both sides like him for that but any post Modi leader won’t get that benefit and you likely will see divisions arise .

That’s why no matter how overwhelmingly powerful a party gets , they will lose power at some point cause eventually tensions will form in your party which opposition parties take advantage off . So I could see Modi becoming the longest tenured PM but I see no way in which the BJP can surpass the INC’s 30 year  run in power
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