What individual election results would have suggested Trump was re-election? (user search)
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  What individual election results would have suggested Trump was re-election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What individual election results would have suggested Trump was re-election?  (Read 1330 times)
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Computer89
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« on: August 02, 2021, 12:35:53 PM »

Trump's decisive margins of victory in Florida and Texas.
Texas swung three points to the left. If you told me that fact alone in 2019 I would assume Democrats easily won WI/MI/P and narrowly FL/NC

If you told me Trump won Florida by an even larger margin, I'd died of a heart attack

True, but for much of last year, Texas was thought to be competitive, and we had polls showing Biden tied or even leading in the state. I think Trump did better than expected there. But as to Florida, I think that's a pretty clear result that would have suggested a Trump reelection.
Did anyone really buy the polls showing Biden leading or tied in Texas? Neither campaign did and 538 ultimately expected Trump to carry Texas by 2 points

Same way no one expected Biden to carry Wisconsin by 8 points

A Poster by the name of TrendsAreReal gaslighted any poster who said Texas wasnt a pure tossup state and there were many posters who expected Biden to win Texas.
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