States that you don't see going R or D in the next 2 decades? (user search)
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  States that you don't see going R or D in the next 2 decades? (search mode)
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Author Topic: States that you don't see going R or D in the next 2 decades?  (Read 1204 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,315


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: March 08, 2020, 12:46:47 AM »

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:



That map looks way way to stable for a two decades time.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,315


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2020, 12:49:22 AM »
« Edited: March 08, 2020, 12:54:36 AM by Old School Republican »




Though if Trump loses in 2020 and wins TX and the GOP adapt over the next 4-8 years I could see Texas GOP streak going for the next two decades though thats a huge if.


MS is too small for Republicans too care to adapt too so Demographics will cause the state to go blue by the 2030s. 


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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,315


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2020, 06:25:41 PM »

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:



That map looks way way to stable for a two decades time.
I disagree.  20 years is 5 elections.  This would be the results for the last 5 elections, since 2000:



Yes but that would mean things in your map would pretty much stay similar for 40 years .
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,315


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2020, 06:49:22 PM »

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:



That map looks way way to stable for a two decades time.
I disagree.  20 years is 5 elections.  This would be the results for the last 5 elections, since 2000:



Yes but that would mean things in your map would pretty much stay similar for 40 years .

I know it's not popular on Atlas, but I don't see some realignment on the horizon.

There is no way the current party system can stay stable for the next 12 years. The reason why Trends dont equal destiny isnt cause they just stop but because parties adapt and that adaptation changes the map as well .


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