Would Kamala Harris crack 20% in WV?

[OSR stands with Israel]

Trump will not break 70% in WV (Or in any state)

Trump got 68.5% in the state with 5% of the state going to third Parties.

Ruling out the possibility of Trump doing 1.5 points better in a rapidly R trending state is dumb as sh*t.

But 68.5% is more of a peak than anything

[OSR stands with Israel]

Trump will not break 70% in WV (Or in any state)

Trump got 68.5% in the state with 5% of the state going to third Parties.

Ruling out the possibility of Trump doing 1.5 points better in a rapidly R trending state is dumb as sh*t.

But 68.5% is more of a peak than anything

I’m sure a solid chunk of people on here thought 2012 was the R peak in WV. Or 2004. Or 2000.

Trends don’t care about peaks.

62% is not a peak like 68.5% is , and trends dont go on forever. At some point there is a ceiling and floor.

California trended R in 1976 and trended R massively in 1980 and then trended D in 1984 because GOP hit their peak in 1980 there. In Utah Reagan won by a smaller margin in 84 than 80 cause he peaked there in 80.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Literally any Democrat would crack 20% at least. It's not DC for Christ's sake; there is still a substantial ancestral Democratic population there that will NEVER vote Republican. Not enough to win a presidential race, but more than enough to keep a Democratic senator in power who was (mostly) running against the record of a historically popular Republican president there when combined with "swing voters."

Honestly, this question is just plain stupid. Even if Kamala is the absolute worst fit the Democrats could run for West Virginia, she would still easily surpass 20%.

You realize Hillary, who notably was not black, only got 26% of the vote, right? And more and more of those "ancestral Democrats" switch sides every day, both literally and figuratively.

There aren’t many ancestral Dems remaining in WV as that generation was the GI Generation and most of the Silent Gen (aka the gen that made WV a Solid Dem state ).

Late Silents and Baby Boomers controlling state politics is why it’s so GOP now :


https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/west-virginia

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2008/results/states/exitpolls/west-virginia.html