538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups (user search)
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  538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups  (Read 4956 times)
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Computer89
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« on: November 07, 2016, 04:31:49 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on November 07, 2016, 10:11:49 AM
This is really nonsense. Everybody knows tossups go overwhelmingly in one direction. I have become more optimistic about the GOP's chances to avoid a big loss (54-46, 53-47), though even that is still very much possible, but they won't keep the Senate, they really won't. Not in a presidential election that is going to be won by the Democrats by more than 5 points.

75%-80% chance that Dems win the Senate.

In 1988 Dems lost the presidential election by 8 points yet they still won the senate
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