Am I Crazy or could Trump Still Win? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 09:45:16 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Am I Crazy or could Trump Still Win? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Am I Crazy or could Trump Still Win?  (Read 3487 times)
Dutch Conservative
jwhueting
Rookie
**
Posts: 171
Netherlands


« on: October 23, 2016, 03:01:26 PM »

It's an extremely difficult path for Trump now, I can only see him winning if:
- polling is consistently underestimating Trump-turnout. It is possible, but the same argument was used in 2012 and that didn't quit work out that way. The difference could be that Trump-supporters are less responsive to polls
- Trump reunites the GOP and gets over 90% of GOP-voters behind him. That might be the case when senate races become very close and Rubio/Heck/etc. get in serious trouble for not (openly) supporting Trump. That could put him over the edge in states  like Florida and NC.
- A new Clinton scandal, Wikileaks/Veritas and very important: it has to be picked up by the MSM, because that's where the Clinton voters are. They dont watch infowars or Breitbart.

A combination of these three could result in a 3-5 swing and make it a very close race again. But Trump cant affort any mistakes in that scenario.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 11 queries.