Dutch Conservative
jwhueting
Rookie
Posts: 171
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« on: October 23, 2016, 03:01:26 PM » |
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It's an extremely difficult path for Trump now, I can only see him winning if: - polling is consistently underestimating Trump-turnout. It is possible, but the same argument was used in 2012 and that didn't quit work out that way. The difference could be that Trump-supporters are less responsive to polls - Trump reunites the GOP and gets over 90% of GOP-voters behind him. That might be the case when senate races become very close and Rubio/Heck/etc. get in serious trouble for not (openly) supporting Trump. That could put him over the edge in states like Florida and NC. - A new Clinton scandal, Wikileaks/Veritas and very important: it has to be picked up by the MSM, because that's where the Clinton voters are. They dont watch infowars or Breitbart.
A combination of these three could result in a 3-5 swing and make it a very close race again. But Trump cant affort any mistakes in that scenario.
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