PA-PPP: Toomey leads

[The_Doctor]

Good for Toomey. This is encouraging for us holding Pennsylvania. A lead is a lead; and the electorate probably will still hold for Toomey if their first impression of Sestak is to give Toomey the lead. His approval rating is a bit worrying, but it's very good news that Sestak - with an evenly split approval rating, among the 40% that do recognize him - trails Toomey, who is slightly underwater.

[The_Doctor]

I assume that Pennsylvania goes Democratic by 3-4%, if it goes Democratic. I go off the 2012 results and don't see why these wouldn't hold as a ceiling.

[The_Doctor]

Casey and Toomey could be a long time duo. Toomey will always have tougher races but Pennsylvania always seems to give both parties a chance. Poll results don't mean anything right now, especially when 1/3 of the electorate has no idea whats going on.

I assume that Pennsylvania goes Democratic by 3-4%, if it goes Democratic. I go off the 2012 results and don't see why these wouldn't hold as a ceiling.

If something is a ceiling, then it should never go above it. Pennsylvania has gone Republican many times before, therefore its not a ceiling.

I meant President. Pennsylvania hasn't gone Republican for President since 1988.