Serbian parliamentary elections - April 24 2016

[Beagle]

President Nikolic who started as a standy-by for Seselj is now leading catch-all Serbian Progressive Party. Old pro-european parties are now in a very bad state.

AFAIK Nikolić has long since been marginalized within the SPS. To some extent the conflict between him and Vučić was precipitated by our refugee (the Bulgarian bankster, who is currently fighting extradition from Serbia).

Anywho, sources differ - a "major parliamentary party" at 17% of their parallel count has the following results:
SNS 50,0

SPS-JS 10,2

SRS 7,7

DS 6,3

Dveri-DSS 5,5

Tadić-Čeda-Čanak [SDS-LDP-LSV] 5,0

Saša Radulović [Dosta je bilo] 4,9


The Center for Free Elections and Democracy has:

SNS - 52

SPS - 14,4

SRS - 7

DS - 5,4

SDS-LDP-LSV - 4,3

DVERI/DSS - 4,2

Looks like the SNS will get their majority in Vojvodina

[Beagle]

Not really, results aren't available online. Vučić just read off the results the current stand according to the electoral commission . According to those, only SNS, SPS-JS, SRS and DS are in.

[Beagle]

Yay, finally one of the websites - in this case B92 - has all the various sources in one place. Use the "Izvor" (source) drop down menu about halfway down the page - just under Preliminarni rezultati parlamentarnih izbora 2016.

The official results are the "RIK" ones.

[Beagle]

Seems like this election is one of those things ain't nobody got time for, but it has been pretty interesting for me. While the nasties are back in parliament, at least there'll be 8 more representatives of "palatable" parties in the new Skupstina and both the SNS and the SPS have lost big. Of course, if just a hundred voters less had voted DSS/Dveri it would have been even better, but I expected much worse tbh.

Also, it's been amusing to see that the Serbs are copying vintage voting fraud techniques from us - the "Bulgarian train" was widespread in the mid-aughts. Seems like we've got a lot to teach them yet.

Anyway, Peter has already given the results, except the 30th SPS seat has gone to the Green party, who ran as a minority list and are now entering Parliament for the first time with 1 MP.

Vojvodina, as expected, has been gained by the SNS with 44.5% of the vote (and 63 seats in the 110 seat regional parliament).

[Beagle]

Hahaha, this is great! After the initial reviews and recounts, the 5% hurdle is set at 188 535 votes. DSS-Dveri has... 188 534. One vote can make a difference, etc.

It's too early for me to gloat that the clerical fascists are out, though, because recounts are still pending for a few precincts and, more importantly, the electoral commission has already ordered a revote for 15 (+ possibly further 2) polling stations where the voting irregularities were just too blatant to overlook. So nothing will be really known until May 4th when some 18 000 people will decide how many parties will be in the next Serbian Parliament.

SDS-LDP-LSV are 788 votes above the hurdle, so they can potentially lose representation if the revotes go badly against them. It'll be interesting to see how much tactical voting there will be.