Is the Labour Party in worse shape then the Republican party for the future

[vileplume]

I would say yes. The Labour party is being torn apart by the complete divergence in the views of its progressive, urban, metropolitan voters and its white working class ones whose mutual support is critical for delivering a Labour government. Unlike with the Democrats in the USA there are simply not enough ethnic minorities to replace the loss of the WWC and the Tories are nowhere near as toxic with ethnic minority voters as the GOP is especially with wealthy ones, in fact recent trends have shown certain ethnic minorities are becoming much more Tory of late anyway. Labour especially with the path they have just embarked on seems hell bent on reducing their base to public sector workers, far left activist types, students and trendy metropolitan liberals which is nowhere enough to win an election especially seen as these types of voters are packed into a comparatively small number of constituencies.

Quite frankly Labour is on borrowed time in places like the Welsh Valleys and the WWC small towns of the north; their organisation has been completely hollowed out due to the collapse of organised labour, years of being neglected and taken for granted by the party and Labour politicians being completely out of touch on social and cultural issues with the voters in these kind of places. It is really another Scotland waiting to happen . People in these places typically vote Labour as they 'just do', 'my granddaddy did' or 'they aren't the Tories'. This is hardly sustainable and Labour is in serious danger of being swept away in a populist tide (albeit by something with a much more working class leadership and far less links to the Tories than UKIP).

[vileplume]

As for the GOP, given the two party nature of American politics when the Democrats inevitably fall out favour with the public the GOP will return to a position of strength as unlikely as it seems at this point of time. Given the more multi-party nature of British politics there are a multitude of non-Tory alternatives other than Labour for the public to turn to when the Tories come a cropper whenever that is. This is why the existential crisis faced by the Labour Party (outlined in my previous post) is so much more of a terminal threat than the one faced by the GOP.