CA - FOX: Trump - 49 Cruz -22 Kasich-20 Clinton - 48 Sanders - 46 (user search)
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  CA - FOX: Trump - 49 Cruz -22 Kasich-20 Clinton - 48 Sanders - 46 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA - FOX: Trump - 49 Cruz -22 Kasich-20 Clinton - 48 Sanders - 46  (Read 4872 times)
ProgressiveCanadian
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« on: April 22, 2016, 05:56:18 PM »

Not a chance Sanders leads by 19 among Hispanics, especially when neighboring Arizona and its Hispanic voters went heavily for Clinton. Throw it in the trash, at least on the Dem side.

GOP voters might be fed up with Cruz trying to game things behind closed doors so there is a backlash against him

It's one part of the poll. Every other cross tab looks pretty reasonable.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2016, 06:04:17 PM »

Not a chance Sanders leads by 19 among Hispanics, especially when neighboring Arizona and its Hispanic voters went heavily for Clinton. Throw it in the trash, at least on the Dem side.

GOP voters might be fed up with Cruz trying to game things behind closed doors so there is a backlash against him

It's one part of the poll. Every other cross tab looks pretty reasonable.

Changing that crosstab to what every other pollster found in California (Clinton +20 among Hispanics, especially in the Southwest), and you get Clinton with an 8-10 point lead which is in line with all other polling. Clinton did not commit a gaffe that would harm her with Southwest Hispanics that would cause those numbers to decline from +20 to -19

Sanders does perform better among Hispanics but no one will know the exact number until election day. With the primary more than a month a way I could see Sanders pulling out a win, but it needs to be big.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2016, 06:14:13 PM »

Also wow Trump is dominating!! Even if you add Cruz and Kasich with every demographic (except white women) Trump still wins.
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