Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET) (user search)
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  Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)  (Read 17468 times)
Boston Bread
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E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« on: May 10, 2016, 06:33:48 PM »

This early? I should be happy about but I kind of feel conflicted considering half of Bernie voters will vote Trump in November here.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2016, 06:37:15 PM »

62% of Dems who want "less liberal policies" voted Sanders lol

Trying to understand this. Cross over voters?
Less liberal is a euphemism for less black to most of these folks.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2016, 07:42:57 PM »

How the F were exit polls off by like 20 points?Huh?
Early vote is throwing things off. Election day votes will be better for Sanders. See: Clinton being ahead by double digits for an hour after IN polls closed.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2016, 07:53:19 PM »

It's quite possible that Bernie wins every county. I'd give it even odds at this point.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2016, 07:58:47 PM »

It's quite possible that Bernie wins every county. I'd give it even odds at this point.

Jefferson = DC exurb, voted Obama in 2008 general.
Counties across the border in VA were 50-50, and I expect Clinton to underperform previous performances in other nearby states.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2016, 08:21:32 PM »

Any reason why Bernie wins whites in the outer south but not the deep south?
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2016, 08:28:39 PM »

Clinton lead in Kanawha County now just 48-45. Look like the primary map is even more ruined now.

Kentucky needs to vote Bernie now to keep continuity.

I'd wager Hillary takes Kentucky. Since its super closed and Hillary managed to win Democrats in WV, the map is gonna be ugly.
The exit poll voter ID is based on self-identification, not registration. Plenty of dems counted as Independent in the exit polls are registered democrats.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2016, 08:56:01 PM »

Jefferson flips to Bernie with 94% reporting. Now that's a place I'm happy to see Bernie win.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2016, 09:34:31 PM »

Open primaries in all 50 states is a horrible idea. You'd have Republicans picking our nominee in years without competitive GOP primaries.

On top of what Gass said, I'd be ok with allowing Independents but not Rs to vote (though any type of closed primary needs party registration to exist there). Wouldn't change much from an open primary.

edit: the county sweep is complete!
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