Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
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« on: December 28, 2014, 05:11:51 PM » |
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Based on demographic trends, MS will become 50% African-American mid-century. But let's say we speed it up and it was 50% black by 2015. And also let's suppose that black turnout remains equal to white turnout as was the case in 2012, even when Obama is off the ballot. As a result democrats now win statewide elections, narrowly but consistently. The legislature would still depend on the distribution of the black vote, but let's say democrats are able to retake it as well. (it isn't gerrymandered to my knowledge)
A couple things I wonder about this situation:
1) How much of a white backlash would there be? Would they start voting 90+% for their party like blacks currently do? Or would they start rejoining the MS democratic party which is now the dominant party again? Would whites start moving out en masse in response?
2) How progressive would a state government dominated by black democrats be? Not on social issues (but still pro-choice) of course but would they go to the left or the right of national democrats on economics?
3) How long would MS stay as a one-party state? Would the GOP eventually win back enough blacks to become competitive again?
4) Would racial inequality in the state start declining? Or is it not a result of government policies?
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