I don't know much about Ohio politics, so fill me in if you will. Considering the woman he's vying to replace is a Republican, is this a Republican-safe district? or is it a swing district that could easily go Democratic, other variables aside? If it is a swing district, what are his chances?
OH-15 voted 50%-49% for Bush in 2004, after going for him by 52%-44% in 2000, so in that sense it appears to be trending Democratic; most people would expect the Democratic Presidential nominee to carry it in the general election next year.
Not that I disagree, but I seem to remember one of the reasons Ohio trended Democrat in 2004 was because of an economic downturn in the state (dunno/don't remember if it was attributable to Bush in some way). I don't know if the condition has improved to such an extent which would ameilorate that D trend enough for an R win, but I'm just not quite sure that there's a D-trend sufficient enough to take the district or if we saw some sort of economic based R-backlash in 04 (due to the poor economy in Bush's first term) that now may not exist (or exist as strongly).
