Is there a GOP path without Florida? (user search)
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  Is there a GOP path without Florida? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is there a GOP path without Florida?  (Read 2279 times)
RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: October 03, 2017, 10:21:15 AM »

Yeah. If Dems do better with hispanics in Florida and Arizona but worse with wealthier socially liberal whites, they could lose Minnesota and New Hampshire. New Hampshire would make it a tie with the house of representatives picking the winner whereas just Minnesota would be enough for the republican nominee to win.

That said, I would still expect Florida to vote to the right of the nation for the time being.

The GOP did not lose New Hampshire because they didn't do well enough with wealthy Whites, what on Earth are you smoking?

$30k-$49.9k: 47% DEM, 45% GOP
$50k-$99.9k: 50% DEM, 46% GOP
$100k-$199.9k: 48% GOP, 47% DEM

In Minnesota, Trump's epic collapse among traditionally GOP voters in wealthier areas probably cost him the state (his "gains" with lower income voters and rural voters were so modest that they didn't even kind of make up for it), but you're completely off with New Hampshire.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2017, 10:29:02 AM »

Yeah. If Dems do better with hispanics in Florida and Arizona but worse with wealthier socially liberal whites, they could lose Minnesota and New Hampshire. New Hampshire would make it a tie with the house of representatives picking the winner whereas just Minnesota would be enough for the republican nominee to win.

That said, I would still expect Florida to vote to the right of the nation for the time being.

The GOP did not lose New Hampshire because they didn't do well enough with wealthy Whites, what on Earth are you smoking?

$30k-$49.9k: 47% DEM, 45% GOP
$50k-$99.9k: 50% DEM, 46% GOP
$100k-$199.9k: 48% GOP, 47% DEM

In Minnesota, Trump's epic collapse among traditionally GOP voters in wealthier areas probably cost him the state (his "gains" with lower income voters and rural voters were so modest that they didn't even kind of make up for it), but you're completely off with New Hampshire.

Those are middle-income brackets...

Not enough data for the higher ones, run along now!
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,073
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2017, 01:29:24 PM »

Maybe this? With or without Maine at large.



273 - 265

If we are talking about republicans in general, there is never a path with Maine. Trump is the only Republican who can win the state.

That's insane.
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