Did Trump set a new trend in the Rust Belt? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 30, 2024, 09:28:58 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Did Trump set a new trend in the Rust Belt? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Did Trump set a new trend in the Rust Belt?  (Read 1813 times)
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,068
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: June 24, 2017, 09:04:53 AM »

They were always swing states, it's just funny how their characterizations have changed.  In 2012, they were too cosmopolitan and enlightened to vote for a barbaric and Southernized GOP; now they're "WWC" wastelands stuck in the 1950s, toiling away complaining about NAFTA.  Same states both times, of course, and Trump kept most of the traditional coalition in tact in all of those states ... he added voters, but he didn't lose them like everyone is claiming:

SUBURBS:
MI: Trump 53%-42%
OH: Trump 57%-37%
WI: Trump 55%-39%

TOP INCOME BRACKET
MI: Trump 51%-43%
OH: Trump 57%-39%
WI: Trump 50%-44%

WHITE COLLEGE GRADS:
MI: Trump 51%-43%
OH: Trump 59%-34%
WI: Clinton 53%-41%

There were obviously some unusual trends in this election, but Trump (largely) dominated traditional GOP demographics in these states, as WELL as adding new voters who hadn't voted Republican in the past ... so maybe, just maybe, this was less of a realignment and more of a case of the Democrats nominating a God-awful nominee who couldn't excite the party's own voters, much less attract enough new ones.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,068
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2017, 08:35:11 AM »

He likely did, but that trend is being offset by a very rapid D-trend in the electoral vote-rich Sunbelt.


And the upper-class white suburbs too.

A lot of these places had never voted Democratic until you threw Trump vs. Clinton at them ... LBJ won a lot of places against Goldwater that Humphrey would go on to lose, so let's not make this huge assumption based off of one election.  LOL, I honestly think you guys just get overly excited about the idea of a realignment because there'd be less to talk about without one.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 12 queries.