Idaho and Wyoming (user search)
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  Idaho and Wyoming (search mode)
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Author Topic: Idaho and Wyoming  (Read 2306 times)
RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,074
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Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: May 07, 2017, 09:33:51 PM »

WY will be R for the next 100 years and Idaho can trend D if there is growth in the Boise suburbs.

Why would super Republican suburbs growing help Democrats, bro?
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RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,074
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: May 12, 2017, 10:43:38 AM »

Anyway the only way I could see this happening is if so many Democratic-leaning people move into Idaho and Wyoming that the composition of the state changes. The current population of those two states is never going to vote Democratic.

Yep.  People here never like this answer, but that is how most states change.  For example, right now young Virginians and Virginians who moved there from other states vote MUCH more Democratic than older and native Virginians, but it's apparently more appealing to focus solely on NOVA "switching parties" because the Republicans are "crazy" and stuff like that.  It's never the only explanation, but it always plays a big role.  The South quite simply got more Republican as more Northern conservatives moved there, period.  Vermont got more Democratic as more liberals moved in from NY/MA/CT/etc., period.  Colorado got more Democratic as more outsiders and Hispanics moved in, period.  The list goes on.
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RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,074
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2017, 11:04:16 AM »

Anyway the only way I could see this happening is if so many Democratic-leaning people move into Idaho and Wyoming that the composition of the state changes. The current population of those two states is never going to vote Democratic.

Yep.  People here never like this answer, but that is how most states change.  For example, right now young Virginians and Virginians who moved there from other states vote MUCH more Democratic than older and native Virginians, but it's apparently more appealing to focus solely on NOVA "switching parties" because the Republicans are "crazy" and stuff like that.

Trump got the least amount of raw votes for a Republican in Fairfax County since 1980. That didn't happen on accident.

Like I said, it's never the only reason, and Fairfax County voted for Democrats long before Trump.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,074
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #3 on: May 12, 2017, 11:57:32 AM »

Anyway the only way I could see this happening is if so many Democratic-leaning people move into Idaho and Wyoming that the composition of the state changes. The current population of those two states is never going to vote Democratic.

Dems aren't moving to Wyoming any time soon. Maybe to Boise, but it would require a really large and sustained movement to have much effect.

They'd also need to move there at near 3-1 margins more often than Republicans would relocate there ... it's like this forum thinks there aren't any well-off Republicans who move to different areas, haha; the only people who move ANYWHERE are White liberals.
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