TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8

[RINO Tom]

Texas has had an anomaly of so many suburban voters going for Republicans. Maybe the suburbs around Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Austin are newer and have infrastructure that doesn't yet have the high costs of maintenance and management that one associates with older suburbs of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Chicago, and St. Louis.   

See also Georgia and Arizona for a similar effect. Orange County in California fits the pattern.

Suburban voters going Republican is an anomaly?  News to me.  Republicans won the suburban vote in 2010, 2012 and 2014, you are aware, yes?

[RINO Tom]

Bill Clinton lost Texas by only 6% in 1996. An 8% margin for Demagogue Don over Hillary Clinton is within the margin of error of the 1996 Presidential election in a legitimate three-way race.

1992 and 1996 may be more relevant to this Presidential race than 2008 and 2012 as a pair or 2000 and 2004 as a pair.

Except looking at the county results, Clinton clearly had a lot of support still from Yellow Dog Democrats in rural TX.  Obama ushered those folks out of the party, and Hillary is finishing the deed.  You hope to make up those votes by winning over socially conservative, rich suburbanites in Dallas or Houston?  I say that's a tall task for Hillary Clinton.