Is NH still a swing state? (user search)
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  Is NH still a swing state? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is NH still a swing state?  (Read 3572 times)
RINO Tom
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« on: February 26, 2016, 02:26:46 PM »

I was once a huge critic of my friend TN Volunteer's insistence that NH was a blue state and trending even bluer. However, angry women aside, I am now solidly convinced that this is the case.  NH can be won by a Republican, but it is growing increasingly difficult and will soon be impossible.  The Vermontification is well under way.

Thanks, man. Smiley

That's...that's stupid.

Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada haven't voted Republican in eight years. Are they solid Democratic states too?

Pennsylvania and Michigan haven't voted Republican since 1988. Wisconsin hasn't since 1984. Minnesota hasn't voted Republican since 1972. Are they all solidly Democratic?

New Hampshire last voted Republican in 2000, and very narrowly voted Democratic in 2004, when the Democratic nominee was a New Englander. Sure, it hasn't voted Republican in the last three presidential elections, but two of those were Democratic victories.

Nobody is saying that New Hampshire is a Republican state (like it was in the 1980s), but it sure as heck isn't a Democratic one.

Republicans have had much success in statewide races in pretty much every swing and lean D state since 2010 except NH and MN. The only reason NH is called a swing state is because Bush won it with 48% due to the Levinsky scandal (he was up 20 points over Gore in NH in early 2000 and still almost lost in on election day) and Ayotte won her Senate race so decisively (I'm sure sexism had nothing to do with that!). But that's it. Yet there are posters on Atlas who think NH will somehow magically vote Republican because muh Whites and Elastic Independents Trend R! but PA (where Republicans have won much more statewide races in the past) is somehow solid D because muh Philadelphia suburbs and muh diversity! Can Republicans come close to winning New Hampshire? Well, if you think 4 or 5 points is close, then the answer is yes. But constantly losing a state by single digits (even in huge Republican wave years) instead of double digits doesn't mean that it's competitive. The 2nd congressional district already votes to the left of the Northeast Kingdom and the 1st district is trending SLIGHTLY D as well. The 2012 and 2014 results speak for themselves. Only on Atlas do people believe that Scott Brown only lost because he didn't know enough about Sullivan County LOL.

TNvolunteer, how about you actually give us some proof as to why you think that New Hampshire is a Democratic state?

It doesn't vote for Republicans anymore. Next question?

I'll have to tell Kelly Ayotte that next time I see her.

Okay, so WV is a swing state as well because Joe Manchin won a Senate race there in 2010? And IL, too?

This comment would make sense if you limited your NH trolling to Presidential elections only, but you don't.
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