The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee? (user search)
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  The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee? (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2016 map if Kasich was the nominee?  (Read 7656 times)
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 33,551
United States


« on: July 14, 2019, 01:44:25 PM »



Clinton/Kaine: 279 EV, 50% pv
Kasich/Cruz: 259 EV, 47% pv


Kasich tries Trump's tactics, but he's too nice and overly boring to completely pull it off. Also Hillary does the smart thing and uses the Obama strategy to the fullest, which means minority turnout does a lot better. The 1976-esque situation flips back to the 1988 sorta landslide it literally would've been if Trump weren't there. Kasich barnstorms Wisconsin and follows a Pat Toomey sort of strategy to flip Pennsylvania...but he can't quite flip New Hampshire, Michigan, or Florida.

Closest States

New Hampshire D+0.1
Wisconsin  R+0.4
Pennsylvania R+0.5
North Carolina R+1

Florida D+2 (tipping point)
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,551
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2019, 10:15:22 AM »


Don’t waste your breath with them, it’s fruitless.

Kasich is not some juggernaut. Most Democrats would have lost to Drumpf.

And without the popular vote. At this point, it's pretty clear that Hillary actually was the best shot for the year [well, after a much more with-it Biden turned it down].
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