MI-GOV: Who wins Dem primary?

[Mr. Smith]

Not every woman is going to end up like Clinton. Whitmer will probably win.

If anything, she will probably end up like every other serious female Dem this cycle, and overpreform. Dems like their female candidates this year, which is why I am not to worried about the Florida primary as well.

Are you saying Cary Kennedy wasn't serious in Colorado?

[Mr. Smith]

As for me, I'll be really bold and anticipate an El-Sayed victory. Probably by a razor thin margin against Whitmer.

[Mr. Smith]

The problem with Whitmer is 98% style, though the whole Blue Cross stuff and stance of Campaign Finance is a little much...but no worse than the "Abolish ICE" hysteria going around, especially with the Berniecrats.

But style is key when there's little real, tangible difference. And Woodmer doesn't have it compared to the more passionate, bold, and articulated El-Sayed. Even Thanedar had more going for him in that regard (though there was plenty else wrong with him).

It's easy to say whose "more electable" when you have a semi-arbitrary checklist, both candidates check the boxes off, but the factor is who has the most money, regardless of where the money is coming from, persuasiveness, and keeping the other side on the defense.

Now with the loss of El-Sayed, the burden shifts on the hope that Schuette is quite wooden himself.