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June 02, 2024, 10:05:45 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  TX-SEN: True to Form (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-SEN: True to Form  (Read 159981 times)
Mr. Smith
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« on: June 19, 2018, 02:34:17 AM »

Seems more like a means to co-opt anything O'Rourke could tangibly use against him.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2018, 03:34:45 PM »

Or if Gore had bothered to shore up New Hampshire
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2018, 10:14:17 PM »

Grimes was doing about this well in 2014 at this point.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2018, 09:52:08 PM »

Ron Johnson said some pretty ridiculous things in Wisconsin, and he still won it, despite Obama's blowout in 2008.

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2018, 05:10:35 PM »

Well I can tell you I've seen quite a few BETO signs and not one for Cruz...I'm in the heart of Aggieland.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2018, 10:35:44 AM »

Who remembers back in 2010 when Republicans were pretending that they could win CA-GOV and CA-SEN?

How did that work out for them?

McCain did worse than Goldwater for CA, meanwhile Hillary gave the best record since 1996 for TX. There's a bit of a difference.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2018, 09:47:10 PM »

In fairness, GA-06 was won last year despite the Star Wars f&*kery.

But yeah, I haven't seen any Cruz material and quite literally just went past 12 BETO yard signs. Trump won here by 23 and Cruz won by 40 back in 2012.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2018, 06:52:39 PM »

First TV ad I've seen for Beto or Ted, this one for Beto.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 03:58:54 PM »

I like Beto, but he's too liberal for Texas, and literally concedes nothing on those points, he's probably not going to win Texas that way.

Starting to slowly come to terms that Beto is not a good candidate. Running as a bold progressive and refusing to moderate or even appear moderate to voters. Terrible ads and refusing to run decent negative ads which are needed to define your opponent. DUI, sketchy family businesses etc. Not to say any Dem would be coasting to victory right now but I think Beto will underperform fundamentals relative to a generic type Dem.

And look at The Bredi with a few flashy ads here and there and doing everything to be moderate he possibly he can. Or how 'bout Heitkamp's run, with literally only the vote against Fratboy Brett as remotely "liberal".

And yet it's those two slipping under while Beto, is at least holding ground, if not necessarily winnable ground.
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Mr. Smith
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Posts: 33,444
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2018, 01:59:49 PM »


So, now we know the real winner in a Cruz +1.5
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Mr. Smith
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Posts: 33,444
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2018, 11:32:49 AM »

I like Beto, he’s a good man. But this race was winnable with the right person with the right campaign, I agree with the GOP on that. But Beto and his campaign are not the chosen ones. He’s run as an ultra liberal, and as such, he will pay the price for it tomorrow.

We've seen that most moderates in the South lost because they failed to excite the base. Beto has run on positions supported by a majority of the American people or Texans. All this name calling and slamming is a GOP game because they' ve nothing to run on. Just because DINOs work in WV, that doesn't mean it works in TX as well.
Doug Jones ran a moderate campaign and won against Roy Moore. Archie Parnell ran a moderate campaign in 2017 and nearly beat Ralph Norman. Phil Bredesen has run a moderate campaign and is competitive against Blackburn.

Quist and Thompson didn't and nearly defeated Gianforte and Estes, with margins far more impressive for their districts.

And Ossoff managed to do worse than the run-off after running such a campaign.

Also, Jones ran a distinctly leftist campaign. Try again.
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