Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign

[Mr. Smith]

...I got cocky enough to pull the most teenage thing one could do with a car...it was just a split second, but that was all it took.

9 fecking months...already fecked up.

Nobody got hurt, and my own ride was virtually undamaged this time...but f^&*!, another point.

...fml...fml...fml...

[Mr. Smith]

me, I'm halfway through high school.

That just means that the worst is behind you.

If only.

[Mr. Smith]

...And some jack#@% with a master key broke into my car and stole my emergency rations. Also opened up a bunch of other cars too....fml...fml...

[Mr. Smith]

Apparently if you own a Toyota and live in a generally secluded neighborhood, not even locking your doors will save you from burglary.

Woke up a few days ago to find all my doors were opened, and all the trunks in the neighborhood open too.

The SOB stole $10 in cash and most of my snacks. Not my camera [which I left in out of absent-mindedness], not my tools, not my spare tire, my freaking snacks and cash.

[Mr. Smith]

Apparently if you own a Toyota and live in a generally secluded neighborhood, not even locking your doors will save you from burglary.

Woke up a few days ago to find all my doors were opened, and all the trunks in the neighborhood open too.

The SOB stole $10 in cash and most of my snacks. Not my camera [which I left in out of absent-mindedness], not my tools, not my spare tire, my freaking snacks and cash.

Must've been a college student.

Most of these types of random "car prowling" incidents are typically either High School kids looking for spare change, or your local neighborhood "tweaker" or "crackhead" that are a bit addled in the mind and looking for a few extra bucks in cash, and no idea how to flip potentially valuable items for $$$.

Actually, in my experience sometimes it is better to leave your car doors unlocked, since it might save you from the costs of replacing a smashed window, especially if you have nothing of value in your car.

Sorry about what happened, but hey at least it didn't you set you back real money, just some parking meter fees and a few snacks.... Better than $150 for a new car window at least.

So they:

- Know how to get around a very affluent neighborhood where houses are worth $1 million + and the roads are cracked and windy

- How to hack a master key that targets one type of car [Toyota] and leave almost no evidence besides leaving everything open and running off

But don't know how to flip serious valuables...

...Ya' know two years ago, I'd completely disbelieve that, now... that still seems a somewhat far-fetched.

[Mr. Smith]

And now my cat is having issues breathing, weak legs, barely moving... he is 13 years old. He went to the vet yesterday, they said it was pneumonia and gave us meds...we've given him meds since.

....I don't know if he'll make it,...I just don't know...

This year is sucking even more than last year already.

[Mr. Smith]

I sincerely hope your four-legged friend recovers.

...He didn't make it...

[Mr. Smith]

My condolences, L.D.

I sincerely hope your four-legged friend recovers.

...He didn't make it...

Very sorry to hear this.

I'm so sorry, LD. I know the pain of losing a beloved pet all to well not to understand how you feel now. My deepest sympathies.

Thank you guys so much, it means a bit.

[Mr. Smith]

The problem had literally nothing to do with muh technocrats, it was Ossoff losing that demoralized them. You said as much yourself. I said to tell them that the special elections looked like this in 2005, before the giant 2006 wave. That would be a hell of a lot more effective at convincing non atlas peeps then "10 point point swing.".

The analysis you cited was A. obviously agenda based, and B.studied only 2 states. It didn't address whether Obama Trumpers switched because of a perception of democrats favoring the wealthy, or if partisanship led these voters to say yes to the question that made democrats (which opposed trump) look bad. Also remember that a decent chunk of these people likely voted for bush.

I really see no point in regurgitating the same points I've made to you countless times. But here it goes yet again: I live in exactly the kind of sunbelt Romney-Clinton suburban affluent district that has diversified over the years. You know, the kind that people like you constantly harp about being the future of the Party.

These voters will not vote for anybody to the Left of Jon Ossoff. The inevitable Democratic candidate here, Harley Rouda, is running the same exact Ossoff strategy (pushing for a balanced budget, keeping the ACA with no desire for single payer, not a single mention of taxing the wealthy, etc.). The DCCC is literally banking on these kind of lifelong Republican voters to flip even though they have little to no interest in ever voting for a Democrat to go to D.C. to represent the agenda of *gasp* Nancy Pelosi. Oh and never mind the fact that this centrist style platform isn't gonna excite nearly enough Democrats to overcome the deficit here either (The GOP candidate, Rohrabacher, won by 17 points in 2016). The whole point of this campaign, (which even volunteers at the training session told me they were interested in) wasn't necessarily to win here but at least build Party infrastructure in place for future elections down the line.

2018 is ultimately gonna come down to if we have a business cycle recession or not. Every Democratic wave in the Reagan era (1980-now) comes from an economic decline while the GOP is in power for a reason. If there's no recession, we're not taking back the House.


Virginia,

We have a few objectives:
1. Get people registered as Democrats; not Republicans.
2. Make sure people register to have a sample ballot or mail in vote. People are far more likely to vote if they see a sample ballot beforehand.
3. Convince mixed households (say a Democrat wife living win a Republican husband) to vote for the Democratic Party.
4. Gather data on which issues are most important to Democrats. So far it's been healthcare in my experience; NOT Russia.
5. Hand out Harley Rouda pamphlets and other campaign literature from his campaign.

The economy was fine in 2006, and 1986 too.

[Mr. Smith]

The problem had literally nothing to do with muh technocrats, it was Ossoff losing that demoralized them. You said as much yourself. I said to tell them that the special elections looked like this in 2005, before the giant 2006 wave. That would be a hell of a lot more effective at convincing non atlas peeps then "10 point point swing.".

The analysis you cited was A. obviously agenda based, and B.studied only 2 states. It didn't address whether Obama Trumpers switched because of a perception of democrats favoring the wealthy, or if partisanship led these voters to say yes to the question that made democrats (which opposed trump) look bad. Also remember that a decent chunk of these people likely voted for bush.

I really see no point in regurgitating the same points I've made to you countless times. But here it goes yet again: I live in exactly the kind of sunbelt Romney-Clinton suburban affluent district that has diversified over the years. You know, the kind that people like you constantly harp about being the future of the Party.

These voters will not vote for anybody to the Left of Jon Ossoff. The inevitable Democratic candidate here, Harley Rouda, is running the same exact Ossoff strategy (pushing for a balanced budget, keeping the ACA with no desire for single payer, not a single mention of taxing the wealthy, etc.). The DCCC is literally banking on these kind of lifelong Republican voters to flip even though they have little to no interest in ever voting for a Democrat to go to D.C. to represent the agenda of *gasp* Nancy Pelosi. Oh and never mind the fact that this centrist style platform isn't gonna excite nearly enough Democrats to overcome the deficit here either (The GOP candidate, Rohrabacher, won by 17 points in 2016). The whole point of this campaign, (which even volunteers at the training session told me they were interested in) wasn't necessarily to win here but at least build Party infrastructure in place for future elections down the line.

2018 is ultimately gonna come down to if we have a business cycle recession or not. Every Democratic wave in the Reagan era (1980-now) comes from an economic decline while the GOP is in power for a reason. If there's no recession, we're not taking back the House.


Virginia,

We have a few objectives:
1. Get people registered as Democrats; not Republicans.
2. Make sure people register to have a sample ballot or mail in vote. People are far more likely to vote if they see a sample ballot beforehand.
3. Convince mixed households (say a Democrat wife living win a Republican husband) to vote for the Democratic Party.
4. Gather data on which issues are most important to Democrats. So far it's been healthcare in my experience; NOT Russia.
5. Hand out Harley Rouda pamphlets and other campaign literature from his campaign.

The economy was fine in 2006, and 1986 too.

Can't speak to 1986, but in 2006 Dems had a coherent message handed to them on a platter.

To TTs original update - I'm going to be doing similar (and perhaps even more futile) work this summer in Alabama, so cheers to making the GOP spend money!

Ah, but said coherent message wasn't related to any economic downturn, it was related to Iraq.

[Mr. Smith]

My goal is to post little to none from now on for multiple reasons. Feel free to say "see you tomorrow"

Okay, see you tomorrow.

@Cathy: Pretty sure it does.

[Mr. Smith]

Just got approved for my first credit card.

[Mr. Smith]

Yeah, apartments isn't bad, Craigslist is hit-and-miss.

But you'd be smarter to aim for the East Bay and commute over to The City. Less congested, cheaper, warmer, and the streets smell acceptable.

[Mr. Smith]

Welp, I've either opened a door, or royally screwed myself over like I did last year (and a half technically) when I tried to stay in Virginia after graduation.

I've finally made good on my acceptance despite the high costs, I just finished my first round of registering for classes at Texas A&M.

[Mr. Smith]

Anyone ever wonder when was the last time Jimmy and Rosylynn Carter did the do? I'm guessing 1991.

.....Why?   Just why?

[Mr. Smith]

I'm sorry Scott.

[Mr. Smith]

...I'm probably gonna lose my driver's license soon.

Thanks to one f&*( up and one bit of bad luck, I'm gonna have to go to the DMV to take the written test instead of being able to go online.

...Ugh, just ugh! It took me forever to pull it off [test stress], and now I'll have just a month.

[Mr. Smith]

Very sorry to hear this......NJ

Seconded. I know losing a beloved pet can be very difficult and heart breaking.

Thirded.

This happened to me two months ago.

[Mr. Smith]

My (now ex-)girlfriend and I broke up today. 2 year relationship ended because she decided to outright ignore me for 2 days and spend today posting pics of another guy on Snapchat sleeping over, them drinking milkshakes together with hearts, and him shirtless making pizzas, while not bothering to read my messages or message me back.

Ouch...I'm sorry

You're better off without her, JA. Still sucks, but you deserve more than that.

[Mr. Smith]

3 years now!

[Mr. Smith]

Getting serious cold feet about my move. Not doing well at all today.

[Mr. Smith]

I panicked bad when I lost my wallet yesterday and canceled all the cards I could...so now I'm running on an ATM-only card with nearly nothing on it and a cash stash while I wait.

[Mr. Smith]

I'm doing really stressful stuff but it's rewarding when I get it done and I finally feel like my life is on track and has purpose

Congrats! But the nihilistic abyss will miss you.

oooooo, tha should be the name of the next one....at least in the running.

[Mr. Smith]

...I think I just Hillary'd my job interview.

Applied to work at my University's counterpart to where I have worked for years, but then, it was a group interview.

So many people who didn't have the same experience, but they all could sound so confident in what they said....

[Mr. Smith]

Does anyone here have an aversion to banana nut muffins?

Yeah