Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)

[swf541]

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

Especially with Caucuses. He lead in Iowa, he lead in Alaska, and he lead in Kansas.

alaska poll was from overtime and the kansas poll was rather shady as well and some polls did show iowa not as badly as the average showed

[swf541]

What happened with Maine? No more results?

Assuming those "reports" were real

[swf541]

Can someone inform me what's happening? I know Cruz won Kansas, what's happening in the other states? Thanks!

Kentucky seems to be for trump by some margin
Maine early reports for Cruz but Trump just won a county so unsure, dont think its many votes yet
Lousiana nothing

[swf541]

Maine: Precincts Reporting 27.3%

Cruz     46.9%
Trump  34.6%

Source?

[swf541]

WTF is going on in Maine? Is this Cruz's Santorum moment?

Seems so

[swf541]

This could wind up being a reasonably good night for Trump if he wins Kentucky and Louisiana. I think that because I still think that many in the establishment would sooner embrace Trump than Cruz.

no, trump is underperforming in every state that is reporting so far.

and he is losing precious delegates as we speak.

The early states seemed to give him the expected numbers.

Nobody expected trump to lose maine. Indeed, go look at the prediction thread.

I expected him to lose, but not to Cruz.

This, also was there any maine polls? (I thought Kasich would win Maine)

[swf541]

Harlan, Kentucky goes 41-32-22 Trump, Cruz, Rubio

Harlan is on the VA border.  That's a surprisingly bad result for Trump.  Closed caucus effect?

I think so

[swf541]

If Cruz wins Maine of all places, I think it can be safely assumed all future caucuses are Cruz territory.

Agreed though what states caucuses are left?  I though Idaho was what else?

[swf541]

The trump spin in this thread is incredible. you guys are seriously saying this is an amazing night for him?

Considering these are most of the last caucuses which he sucks at and Cruz excels at, not amazing but far from a disaster.  That and Rubio is gone, as a dem worried about him its a very good night

[swf541]

Trump is pulling away in KY

Yes, but early returns are preferentially his base.  I don't think Trump can lose KY, but it will likely be back within single digits.  He could still get "Fairfaxed" with Louisville or Lexington reporting late.

I heard Louisville may be good for Trump earlier in the day

[swf541]

Funny how Cruz is winning all of the Big 12 states. Maybe it bodes well for him in West Virginia?

WV will be one of his best states, he'll also due well in western maryland, southern central/ appalchian PA

[swf541]

Did Decision Desk call LA for Trump?

[swf541]

Did Decision Desk call LA for Trump?

Yup, so much for the media narrative of Cruz dominance.

Thought so, sites been a bit glitchy so was just checking.

Looks like Trump doing pretty well there.

[swf541]

How in the Hell has Cruz surged so drastically? He's further to the right than Trump is.

Rubio collapse+ Carson