Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,002
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« on: August 15, 2020, 10:02:43 AM » |
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Specifically for FL, look at Tampa Bay (Hillsborough, Pinellas) and the surrounding counties (Pasco, Lake, Bradenton)--a good predictor of what will happen in the Rust Belt states. Pasco in 2016 and the big jump in the Republican vote (30000 increase and a 14 percent increase from 2012) foreshadowed what eventually happened in MI, PA, and WI. When I saw that on Election Night in 2016, I knew that Hillary was in serious trouble.
If Biden can hold down the margins in counties like Pasco, he'll win FL and therefore the election.
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