Which historical third party candidate is Evan McMullin most similar to? (user search)
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  Which historical third party candidate is Evan McMullin most similar to? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which historical third party candidate is Evan McMullin most similar to?  (Read 1335 times)
Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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Posts: 2,995


« on: October 22, 2016, 07:29:53 PM »
« edited: October 22, 2016, 07:31:35 PM by mollybecky »

I would say he resembles more the 1960 unpledged Democratic electors that won in Mississippi and got a substantial vote in Louisiana plus picked up electoral votes in Alabama.  As a result, 14 normally Democratic electoral votes were lost to JFK and went to Harry Byrd that year.

McMullin's strength is primarily in Utah (with some additional support in Idaho).  At this time, his major appeal is to the Mormon population that is normally very Republican but is so repelled by Trump.

The question will be whether these voters will drift away in the future to another party or movement--which is what happened to the Democrats in the South from the 1950s on.  I think not--they'll come back.
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