Not that unbelievable if you think Bush is up 4-6 nationally.
I think Florida and Ohio have essentially swaped places in 2004
In 2000 Bush was 4% better in Ohio than his national average, while Florida was basically exactly at his national average.
In 2004 I think Ohio is basically dead even with Bush's National numbers, while Bush is maybe 2-3% better in Florida than his National support.
Is Nader on the ballot in Ohio..? BTW
Other key results in Ohio:
Respondents who believe only Bush would be a good President: 42%
Respondents who believe only Kerry would be a good President: 34%
Respondents who believe both would be a good President: 10%
Respondents who believe neither would be a good President: 9%
If we use this question as a +/- proxy for "certain" support, Bush is also up 8%
The odd situation with the ABB movement could mean that a lot of those neither respondants are very likely Kerry or non-Bush voters.
