Election Projection puts Kerry ahead

[Lunar]

Actually it says this:

Electoral Votes:   Bush 247, Kerry 291
Popular Vote:   Bush 48.07%, Kerry 50.93%

His map:

[Lunar]

What about that little state of Florida?

Anyway, Election Projection is far from perfect due to their arbitrary weighting system and lack of state polls yet (everything is subtracted or added equally from the margins Bush got in 2000).

[Lunar]

No it isn't.  Try resetting your cookies or something, you seem to be looking at an older version of the page and image than we are.

[Lunar]

Why do they WV as solidly Bush?  

Because as we described earlier in the therad, they just subtract or add the national margin on top of the 2000 one.  

Here is what the site owner said on the very subject:

Code:

Bush won West Virginia by a surprisingly large margin in 2000. Because I have not yet added state polling to these calculations, West Virginia is currently projected to go for Bush by 5.1%. I'm sure that will change once I start including state polls for battleground states.