Nate Silver: "PPP is basically just duplicating polling averages". (user search)
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  Nate Silver: "PPP is basically just duplicating polling averages". (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nate Silver: "PPP is basically just duplicating polling averages".  (Read 5642 times)
Slander and/or Libel
Figs
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,338


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.83

« on: November 17, 2014, 09:57:31 AM »

What the heck is wrong with Silver? He seems to have an axe to grind with everyone. One day he trashes PPP, the next Sam Wang and who knows who will be next.

To be fair, in Sam Wang's case it was not Silver who started that "flame war". Wang had been trashing Silver long before the vice versa occured.

Silver's dislike of PPP is another matter though.

Not true, about Sam Wang. Wang disagreed with Silver's methodology (and others like it) and said so. That's very different from trashing him. In response, Silver put up a screed singling out Wang's approach as uniquely wrong among prognosticators.
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Slander and/or Libel
Figs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,338


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.83

« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2014, 09:58:05 AM »

I think the reason PPP consistently stays the polling average is that most of the herding towards the mean at the end are done by swingy or junk polls to salvage their reputation while the more established ones are more consistent. Ras and Gravis actually recalled polls because they where outliers for heaven's sake! PPP is one of the better pollsters so I don't get the hate towards them.
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