Hillary wins by a bigger margin in the PV than Obama 2012, but falls slightly in the electoral college due to Jeb's home state advantage in Florida giving him a narrow win there. Third parties get a slightly higher percentage of the vote than they normally do due to "dynasty backlash".
Clinton/Kaine - 319, 51.3%
Bush/Ayotte - 219, 45.7%
Close states (within 5%):
Missouri - 0.3%
New Hampshire - 1.0%
Colorado - 1.1%
North Carolina - 1.3%
Florida - 2.3%
Iowa - 3.2%
Ohio - 4.5%
Indiana - 4.8%
Hillary is bad in Colorado but so is Bush. Jeb did worse than Huckabee in the last Colorado poll against Clinton. She'd win Colorado before MO and NC at the very least.