Who'll win in Kansas? (user search)
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  Who'll win in Kansas? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who'll win the 2014 Senate seat in Kansas?
#1
Pat Roberts (R, incumbent)
 
#2
Greg Orman (Independent)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 105

Author Topic: Who'll win in Kansas?  (Read 4378 times)
NHLiberal
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Posts: 790


« on: September 04, 2014, 10:51:47 PM »

I think Roberts will win. His background sounds really shaky in the Washington Post article and I'm not sure his moderate hero tendencies/vagueness on everything will be able to keep him relevant long enough. I can very easily envision him fading fast. Especially if Roberts and the NRSC define him as the de facto Democrat in the race (which may be a bit harder if Taylor remains on the ballot, but that of course would be balanced out by the fact that Taylor would draw away a small percentage of votes from Orman).
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NHLiberal
Jr. Member
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Posts: 790


« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2014, 03:37:44 PM »

Probably Roberts, but if so it'll be closer than any KS race has a right to be, and will divert funds from places like NC, AK, AR, etc.

And this is one case where the "divert funds" argument is actually valid. It usually isn't because if it's diverting funds for one party, it's diverting funds for the other party, but since national Democrats can't/won't spend money on Orman, this would really only hurt the Republicans.
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NHLiberal
Jr. Member
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Posts: 790


« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2014, 05:00:42 PM »

Living in Kansas and being quite politically involved here, I'm thinking Orman will pull off an upset win. Head to head, PPP has him 10% up on Roberts, but with Taylor still on the ballot I worry. It depends how the ballot name challenge goes. If Taylor's name is removed or if Dems do well at GOTV for Orman and NOT Taylor, Orman will win. He still has pretty low name recognition, but he has resources like crazy. In the debate yesterday, he came out of the gate a bit cautious but then proceeded to hammer Roberts, who said "Harry Reid" 22 times and had to ask the moderator to calm the crowd. Roberts' residency issues will harm him in the end. Even Republicans here think he's out of touch.

How exactly does one support Collins over Bellows but Teachout over Cuomo?
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