538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely

[NHLiberal]

Guys, if you add up the individual probabilities, the model is projecting R+9.

I think you missed the fact that GA, KY, and KS are currently Republican held seats.

No, because WV and MT aren't even on the list. What he/she meant was that the model shows Republicans having a greater than 50% chance in 9 states: WV, SD, MT, AR, AK, LA, NC, CO, and IA. Gauss is correct in pointing out that it doesn't actually mean the model is predicting 9 seats though.

[NHLiberal]

Remember when 538 was supposed to not reliable and people were sending the site nasty emails? How quickly minds change when favorable results are produced for certain people.

For the record, I never cared for this sort of model in 2012, even if it favorable to Democrats, because it misses the mark.

Hypocrisy at its finest, ladies and gentlemen. I better remember Democrats gushing about Silver about how accurate he was back in the day.

"For the record, I never cared for this sort of model in 2012, even if it favorable to Democrats, because it misses the mark."

So no.

[NHLiberal]

Remember when 538 was supposed to not reliable and people were sending the site nasty emails? How quickly minds change when favorable results are produced for certain people.

For the record, I never cared for this sort of model in 2012, even if it favorable to Democrats, because it misses the mark.

Hypocrisy at its finest, ladies and gentlemen. I better remember Democrats gushing about Silver about how accurate he was back in the day.

"For the record, I never cared for this sort of model in 2012, even if it favorable to Democrats, because it misses the mark."

So no.

Was talking in general

But he/she is one person, so you can't contend the hypocrisy of all Democrats based on his/her individual statements that specifically reveal the exact opposite of the hypocrisy you are highlighting.