Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 98088 times)
yankeesfan
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« on: March 01, 2016, 12:12:00 PM »
« edited: March 01, 2016, 12:15:00 PM by yankeesfan »

http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/texas/exit/

First Texas entrance/exit polls show Cruz leading YUGE with every demographic except the poorly educated.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 12:42:15 PM »

http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/texas/exit/

First Texas entrance/exit polls show Cruz leading YUGE with every demographic except the poorly educated.

Is this test data?

The Arkansas one says "last polled: 12:46PM EST", even though it isn't that time yet...

I think they may be early voting exit/entrance poll results.  I don't know how that would work....
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 12:48:24 PM »

Based on the CBS link:

Texas
Cruz 42%
Trump 28%
Rubio 14%

Arkansas
Trump 33%
Cruz 32%
Rubio 24%
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 12:52:30 PM »

Alabama
Trump 34
Cruz 28
Rubio 21

Tennessee
Trump 33
Rubio 26
Cruz 25

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yankeesfan
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« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 01:03:37 PM »

Georgia
Trump 33
Cruz  27
Rubio 24

If this data is real, tonight may be more interesting than expected.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 03:33:01 PM »

So, we should assume these numbers are not real right?

People at 538 are saying its test data, so I'll believe that for now.

Edit: CBS took it down.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 04:59:07 PM »

Are they releasing exit polls for all the states at 5pm, or only the ones with the earliest poll closing times?

I can probably wait 2 minutes to find out.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 05:11:51 PM »

Donald Trump is holding a press conference tonight at 8:00 pm CT/9:00 pm ET.  Normally they don't announce an exact time for a victory/concession speech this early.  What is that all about?

I think Trump wants to be guaranteed that people watch.  9pm is primetime viewing hour.  Any later and he'd lose people because they're heading to bed.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 05:23:10 PM »

TX exit polls say 39% say "shares my values" is the most important quality.

Good for Cruz, I think
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 05:30:22 PM »

Texas: Only 4 in 10 voters looking for political outsider, fewer than anywhere else
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 05:41:22 PM »

I hate these partial exit polls.  Give us the top-lines!
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 06:16:52 PM »

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.  He will use his speech tonight to attack Donald Trump.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 06:20:28 PM »

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.  He will use his speech tonight to attack Donald Trump.

Where do you see he doesn't expect to win anywhere?

On CNN, there was a report from his campaign HQ
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 07:01:56 PM »

Virginia
Trump 34
Rubio 31
Cruz 16

That could be close!
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 07:27:18 PM »

Rubio might get shut out of Georgia--below the 20% threshold
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2016, 08:37:21 PM »

Cruz is closing in Oklahoma (9% in)

Trump 32.8
Cruz 29.2
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2016, 08:39:42 PM »

OK 10% in

Trump 32.5
Cruz 30
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yankeesfan
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Posts: 1,148
« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2016, 08:43:54 PM »

OK (13% in)
Trump 32.0%
Cruz 31.1%
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2016, 08:46:37 PM »

OK (14% in)
Trump 31.7%
Cruz 31.5%

This is going to be interesting to watch
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2016, 09:53:17 PM »

Cruz now in second place in Arkansas
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #20 on: March 01, 2016, 09:56:43 PM »

Rubio looks to be doing decently in Minnesota.  Here's to hoping he fails there too
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #21 on: March 01, 2016, 10:00:25 PM »

If you look at how many votes have come in from Minny, that 5% lead is 70 votes
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #22 on: March 01, 2016, 10:04:21 PM »

Marco Rubio 30.3% 786--
Ted Cruz 29.7% 771 -15
Donald Trump 22.3% 579 -207
Ben Carson 11.6% 300 -486
John Kasich 6.0% 155 -631
All Others 0.2% 6-780

Precincts Reporting 6.3%
Total Votes 1,820

Where are you getting these?
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #23 on: March 01, 2016, 10:22:15 PM »

This is one of Cruz's better speeches
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yankeesfan
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Posts: 1,148
« Reply #24 on: March 01, 2016, 10:28:11 PM »

If you extrapolate the CD results in Minnesota, you get:

Rubio 33%
Cruz 31%
Trump 22%
Carson 8%
Kasich 5%

One last bit of excitement for the night
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