As much as I don't trust ARG, wouldn't this be sort of a worst case scenario for the GOP establishment? Kasich crushing Rubio for second in NH would sort of make him the "establishment candidate" by default. However, Kasich seems to be extraordinarily unpopular among GOP primary voters outside of NH. He probably has less of a chance of beating Trump than almost any other "establishment" candidate.
If Cruz wins Iowa and Kasich wins NH (or comes in a strong second place), we're looking at a decent scenario for the GOP establishment