The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
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« on: November 30, 2016, 01:32:23 PM » |
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On PredictIt, I observed a similar phenomenon to Brexit night, in which an observer without any expectations of the winner would rate a higher price than the price offered. The preconceived notions of likelihood, along with possibly the severity of the outcome should the result go the other way (Brexit Yes, Trump winning) might have made it harder for people to part with their Clinton Yes/Trump No shares, or to buy up shares for the opposite side.
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