WNN Poll Report: Griffin strong in all scenarios; Tmth stabilizing (user search)
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  WNN Poll Report: Griffin strong in all scenarios; Tmth stabilizing (search mode)
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Author Topic: WNN Poll Report: Griffin strong in all scenarios; Tmth stabilizing  (Read 628 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,880
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: May 31, 2019, 07:00:39 PM »

Sample:

39 responses

Labor 36%
Federalist 33%
PAX 8%
Montfortian 5%
Confederate 5%
Independent 5%
ACP 3%
Ban Nazis 3%
"Not McDonald's National Front" 3%
PUP 0%

Total Lab+Pax+Ban Nazis: 47%
Total Fed+Mont+ACP: 41%

Lincoln: 36%
Fremont: 33%
South: 31%

----------------------------

After months of showing a consistent decline in Tmth's standing, our poll shows that Tmth has remained stable during the month of May. His approvals stand at 56%, statistically the same as the 57% rating held at the beginning of the Month. His VP's approvals have however declined dramatically in the aftermath of the Matthew27 recall, going from 79% to 67%.

Tmth fares well in other related questions - Voters agree 44%-33% that his presidency has improved the life of the average Atlasian and agree 67%-13% that Tmth is better at being President than Weatherboy was.

Tmth has announced that he will not run for re-election, and voters approve of this decision by 46%-23%. If Tmth were to run again, our survey finds that Griffin would lead him 51%-44%, with 3% for Kingpoleon. This is a decline for Tmth from last poll's 46%-46% tie, though that was before Kingpoleon entered the race.

Currently, the most likely scenario for the Presidential Matchup is Griffin vs YT vs Kingpoleon. Our survey finds a five point lead for Griffin, 49%-44% with Kingpoleon receiving 3%. If Kingpoleon is not offered as a choice, Griffin leads by 3%, 49%-46%. This represents a massive gain for YT, who trailed by 21 points at the beginning of May, however Griffin remains the definite favorite in the race.

Other Scenarios:

Griffin leads LT 54%-39%-3%
Griffin leads NCY 54%-39%-0%
Griffin leads ASV 56%-26%-18%
Griffin leads SNJC 59%-23%-18%
Griffin leads TPH 54%-36%-8%

Vern leads Ishan 44%-36%-13%
Razze leads Vern 49%-39%-8%

-----------------------

Are you happy with Griffin and YT being the major party nominees

Yes 39%
Dissatisified with Griffin 26%
Dissatisified with YT 23%
Dissatisified with both 13%

Open Rightist Primary without YT

NCY 26%
Vern 18%
LT 15%
SNJC 13%
ASV 8%
Tmth (write-in): 5%
John Quincy Adams (write-in): 3%
MB (write-in): 3%
No One (write-in): 3%
"I stand with YT forever and always": 3%
"Don't Care Much": 3%
"The Right lets Adam become President with no opposition": 3%
TPH: 0%

Open Leftist Primary without Griffin

Jimmy7812: 15%
Peebs: 15%
YE: 13%
Ishan: 10%
Wulfric: 8%
Tack: 8%
DFW: 5%
Peanut: 5%
TSA: 5%
OnProg: 3%
Scott: 3%
"Griffin's Good": 3%
"N/A": 3%
"We Want Griff": 3%
"They are all terrible": 3%
Razze: 0%

Do you approve of the current composition of congress?

Yes: 21%
No, not leftist enough: 39%
No, too leftist: 28%
No, not confederate enough: 5%
No, not enough diversity: 3%
"idk lol": 3%
"p": 3%

Voters oppose banning McDonalds in Atlasia, 82%-10%
Voters oppose repealing Lincoln's Parliament System, 49%-33%
Voters approve of MB's decision to withdraw from the presidential race, 51%-28%
Voters approve of Atlasia Itself, 62%-13%

"Zombie Voters do more harm than Good":

Agree - 28%
Neutral - 36%
Disagree - 36%

---------------

Full list of approval ratings:

NCY - 74%
Brughgmer2 - 69%
Ninja - 69%
Peebs - 67%
Peanut - 67%
Lumine - 67%
Scott - 67%
YE - 64%
Razze - 64%
Encke - 64%
Jimmy7812 - 62%
MB - 62%
Sestak - 62%
PyroTheFox - 59%
Griffin - 59%
Vern - 59%
TimTurner - 59%
Reactionary - 56%
Tmth - 56%
Kingpoleon - 51%
YT - 51%
Ishan - 49%
LT - 46%
TPH - 41%
ASV - 36%
1184AZ - 31%
SNJC - 28%


Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,880
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2019, 08:41:30 PM »

How am I at 62% approval as Deputy GM when I haven't actually done anything yet?

Meh, honeymoon effect + this is more of an FF/HP thing than anything else.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,880
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2019, 12:19:12 PM »

>28% people of people approve me

>I've been among the most active people in the Council

>I don't propose meme legislation


Huh

Can I see your methodology

Activity doesn't matter. You've proposed unpopular policies that everyone hates. If anything you're lucky to have an approval rating as high as 28%.

Yeah, as bad as 28% is, it's not the lowest ever - that would be Weatherboy, whose approvals were found to be just 13% back in January.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,880
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2019, 02:58:38 PM »

>28% people of people approve me

>I've been among the most active people in the Council

>I don't propose meme legislation


Huh

Can I see your methodology

Activity doesn't matter. You've proposed unpopular policies that everyone hates. If anything you're lucky to have an approval rating as high as 28%.

Yeah, as bad as 28% is, it's not the lowest ever - that would be Weatherboy, whose approvals were found to be just 13% back in January.

Wait, WB got as low as 13%?? Ouch. I thought his lowest was 30%?

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=311456.msg6639763#msg6639763
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,880
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2019, 06:41:39 PM »

Can we get a break down of party id vote for my "Presidential match-ups"?

Ishan v Vern:

Labor: 57% Ishan, 21% Kingpoleon, 14% Vern, 7% Undecided
Federalist: 100% Vern
Montfortian: 50% Vern, 50% Kingpoleon
Confederate: 100% Ishan
Independent: 50% Kingpoleon, 50% Undecided
PAX: 67% Ishan, 33% Vern
ACP: 100% Vern
Ban Nazis: 100% Ishan
"Not McDonald's National Front": 100% Undecided

Razze v Vern:

Labor: 86% Razze, 7% Vern, 7% Undecided
Federalist: 92% Vern, 8% Kingpoleon
Monfortian: 50% Razze, 50% Vern
Confederate: 50% Razze, 50% Kingpoleon
Independent: 50% Razze, 50% Kingpoleon
PAX: 100% Razze
ACP: 100% Vern
Ban Nazis: 100% Razze
"Not McDonald's National Front": 100% Undecided
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