CA Gov - Tulchin Research: Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 9% (user search)
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  CA Gov - Tulchin Research: Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 9% (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA Gov - Tulchin Research: Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 9%  (Read 1003 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,887
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: April 19, 2018, 04:54:53 PM »

At this point I'm decently confident that this won't be D v. D.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,887
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2018, 07:08:37 PM »

This is the first time I've seen Villaraigosa so low in polling. I have no doubt that once he starts advertising that Republicans will be shut out of the top two.

The advertising has already started, the primary is in 47 days.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,887
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2018, 09:06:14 PM »

This is the first time I've seen Villaraigosa so low in polling. I have no doubt that once he starts advertising that Republicans will be shut out of the top two.

The advertising has already started, the primary is in 47 days.

That's a fairly long time in a campaign. And considering that Republicans have zero chance of winning the general it really doesn't matter if they make the top two. Meg Whitman spend millions and couldn't win in 2010.

The argument is not that the Republicans have a shot at winning the Governorship, the argument is that having a Republican candidate gets people to turn out for more important races (i.e. the competitive house seats).
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