State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   13,813   52.51%   23,576   52.99%
Pete Gallego   DEM   12,488   47.48%   20,911   47.00%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      26,301      44,487   
Precincts Reported      339   of   339 Precincts      100.00%

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Who had the bright idea to unban Andrew after like 2 seconds just so he could start up the same schtick for the 47th time? The mods are starting to make Charlie Brown look distrustful and skeptical of Lucy by comparison.

The Dems deserve every ounce of criticism and limo liberal trolling they're getting. This result was embarrassing and there's no excuse for it.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Next moderated post from you Limo and I'm banning you from this board.

Do what you want with Limo, I could care less, but don't pretend that this special wasn't a horrible result for Dems, especially considering the YUGE drop from the equally obscure jungle primary.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

The Special State Legislative Elections across the country weren't even remotely on the networks radars for understandable reasons, but let's run down what happened, state by state.

Source, unless otherwise noted: https://ballotpedia.org/State_legislative_special_elections,_2018

Arkansas: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 1-0. They maintained their 1-0 majority as a republican candidate ran unopposed.

Florida: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 2-0. As one would expect given the sorry state of the Florida Democratic Party, this 2-0 GOP majority was comfortably maintained: https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/DistrictOffices/StateSenator (District 23 & 25)

Kansas: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 1-0. According to the winning candidate's twitter page, they maintained that 1-0 majority:

Louisiana: Coming into the election, there was a 2-2 tie among the seats up for Special Election. The GOP easily held the 26th Senate District and picked up House District 33. They also picked up House District 10 by default because no democratic candidate filed. House District 90 will proceed to a December 8 runoff, likely between two Republicans. So the GOP expanded their control of these seats from 2-2 to (likely) 4-0.

Michigan: Coming into the election, the Dems controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 2-0. They maintained one of these seats by default as no GOP candidate ran, and also held the other according to a local newspaper: https://www.lansingstatejournal.com/story/news/local/2018/11/07/how-women-fared-2018-michigan-november-general-election/1836844002/

Minnesota: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 1-0. In a crucial victory for the GOP, as losing this seat would have flipped control of the state Senate to Dems, they easily maintained their hold on this seat.

In Mississippi, two nonpartisan special elections were held. Both races will proceed to a November 27 runoff, according to U.S. News. Both of these seats were previously held by regularly elected Democrats.

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/mississippi/articles/2018-11-07/the-latest-candidates-move-to-runoff-in-state-house-race

New Jersey: Coming into the election, the Dems controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 10-0. In a big success for the party, they maintained their 10-0 majority, and had a double digit margin of victory in all races except for Assembly District 38.

South Carolina: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 1-0. The Democrats picked up the seat by a margin of 52%-48%!

Texas: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 2-0. They maintained one by default as no Dem filed, but the Dems picked up the other seat by a margin of 51%-49%!

Virginia: Coming into the election, the GOP controlled the seats up for special election by a margin of 1-0, which they easily maintained.


Big Picture: Coming into these elections, The Democrats controlled these seats by a margin of 16-11. With three seats proceeding to runoffs, the Democrats maintained their majority at a current size of 14-10.

Schedule for the rest of the year

November 27 - Mississippi Runoffs (House 31 & 85)
December 4 - GA HD 28 (R v. R race)/ SOS
December 8 - LA HD 90 (likely R v. R) and SOS
December 11 - TX SD 6

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Would conor Lamb have lost in the old district?
I think so.

He would beat Saccone again, but lose if the nominee was Reschenthaler.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Schedule for the rest of the year:

November 27 - Mississippi Runoffs (House 31 & 85)
December 4 - GA HD 28 (R v. R) and SOS
December 8 - LA HD 90 (R v. R) and SOS
December 11 - TX SD 6
December 18 - VA HD 24

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Mississippi Results from last night:

State House District 31
Show or hide race▾
Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
★   Otis Anthony   NP   4,920   70%
Barbara Brooks   NP   2,143   30%
Total   7,063
100% Reporting 18 of 18 Precincts

State House District 85
Show or hide race▾
Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
★   Jeffery Harness   NP   4,300   59%
JoAnn Collins-Smith   NP   2,929   41%
Total   7,229
100% Reporting 27 of 27 Precincts

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

We're following three races tonight in GA. All Wulfric Projections will be posted on this thread, though some discussion may end up happening elsewhere.

SOS
PSC Dist. 3
State House 28 Special (Technically a primary, but whoever wins will be completely unopposed in the general, so this is the election.)

Results here after polls close at 7 ET: https://www.ajc.com/news/gen-politics/georgia-runoff-election-results/sSahVAMD47VsrLoZjy4EDK/

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
Chris Erwin   GOP   2,527   51%
Dan Gasaway i   GOP   2,404   49%
Total   4,931

Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
Chuck Eaton i   GOP   219,641   66%
Lindy Miller   Dem   113,511   34%
Total   333,152

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

Public Service Commission, District 3 - Metro-Atlanta
Add this race to my races
Click for Contest Details
Counties/Precincts Reporting: 53 % PercentageVotes
CHUCK EATON (I) (REP)60.69%399,584
LINDY MILLER (DEM)39.31%258,838
658,422

Candidate   Party   Votes   Pct.
Brad Raffensperger
Republican
396,029   60.6%
John Barrow
Democrat
257,032   39.4
653,061 votes, 37% reporting (969 of 2,634 precincts)

----------------


Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
Chris Erwin   GOP   2,823   51%
Dan Gasaway i   GOP   2,685   49%
Total   5,508

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Candidate   Party   Votes   Percentage
Chris Erwin   GOP   3,516   50%
Dan Gasaway i   GOP   3,513   50%
Total   7,029

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Happy Election Night! Tonight, we're following an array of races in Louisiana. Results will be here after polls close at 9 ET: https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/Graphical . To see all races at once, click the "multi-parish" tab. Races are as follows:

Secretary of State
HD 90 Special (R v R)
Judge - Civil District Court - Division E (D v D)
Shreveport Mayor (D v D)
Alderman - Arnaudville (D v D)
Alderman - Eunice Ward 1 (R v I)
Alderman - Eunice Ward 2 (D v D)
Councilman - Shreveport District A (D v D)
Councilman - Shreveport District B
Councilman - Shreveport District C (R v R)
Councilman - Shreveport District D

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

First WULFRIC PROJECTION of the Night:

Councilman -- District B, City of Shreveport 
0 of 25 precincts reporting - 0%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
526   LeVette Fuller (DEM)  72%
204   Wendy Vance (REP)  28%
Total: 730

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

374 of 3910 precincts reporting - 10%
absentee reporting - 58 of 64 parishes   Votes
89,404   Kyle Ardoin (REP)  59%
60,897   "Gwen" Collins-Greenup (DEM)  41%
Total: 150,301

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Two more Projections:

State Representative -- 90th Representative District
 
6 of 28 precincts reporting - 21%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
1,887   Mary DuBuisson (REP)  67%
912   John Raymond (REP)  33%
Total: 2,799

Judge -- Civil District Court, Division E
 
63 of 351 precincts reporting - 18%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
8,284   Omar Mason (DEM)  63%
4,802   Marie Williams (DEM)  37%
Total: 13,086

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Another Call:

Mayor -- City of Shreveport
 
24 of 127 precincts reporting - 19%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
7,012   Adrian Perkins (DEM)  62%
4,363   Ollie S. Tyler (DEM)  38%
Total: 11,375

The 3 Alderman races and 3 of the 4 Councilman races still TCTC.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Another Call:

Councilman -- District D, City of Shreveport
 
9 of 20 precincts reporting - 45%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
3,925   Grayson Boucher (REP)  72%
1,536   Versa "V.O." Clark (DEM)  28%
Total: 5,461

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Alderman Results:

Alderman -- Town of Arnaudville
 
2 of 2 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
114   Bertha Begnaud (DEM)  48%
125   "Debbie" Kidder (DEM)  52%
Total: 239
Unofficial Turnout: 29.8%
Alderman -- Ward 1, City of Eunice
 
8 of 8 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
174   Chad Andrepont (NOPTY)  58%
125   Roland Miller (REP)  42%
Total: 299
Unofficial Turnout: 19.3%

Alderman -- Ward 2, City of Eunice
 
8 of 8 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
258   Germaine Simpson (DEM)  57%
198   "Jackie Ju Ju" Vallare (DEM)  43%
Total: 456
Unofficial Turnout: 26.1%

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Wrapping it up:

Councilman -- District A, City of Shreveport
 
20 of 20 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
2,388   Willie Bradford (DEM)  54%
2,009   Rose Wilson McCulloch (DEM)  46%
Total: 4,397
Unofficial Turnout: 27.4%

Councilman -- District C, City of Shreveport
 
20 of 20 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
2,514   Patrick Kirton (REP)  43%
3,336   John Nickelson (REP)  57%
Total: 5,850
Unofficial Turnout: 32.8%

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Results from TX-SEN 6 tonight:


RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 6 - Unexpired Term               
Carol Alvarado   DEM   5,360   51.22%   7,602   50.39%
Martha Elena Fierro   REP   2,485   23.75%   3,493   23.15%
Ana Hernandez   DEM   2,372   22.67%   3,670   24.33%
Mia Mundy   DEM   246   2.35%   319   2.11%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      10,463      15,084   
Precincts Reported      221   of   221 Precincts      100.00%

Next Elections are in a VA seat and a GA seat on the 18th.

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

The VA seat contains the following areas:

Bath County - Stewart 66/33
Rockbridge County - Stewart 60/38
Augusta County - Stewart 70/28
Amherst County - Stewart 62/36
Buena Vista City - Stewart 60/38
Lexington City - Kaine 71/27

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Polls close at 7 ET in the two elections tonight.

Virginia HD 24: https://results.elections.virginia.gov/vaelections/2018%20Dec%2018%20Special/Site/GeneralAssembly.html

Georgia HD 14:

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/93881/Web02-state.222648/#/

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

VA - 2/47 in

Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   428   58.63%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   301   41.23%
Write In
Write-In   1   0.14%

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Votes   Percent
Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   3,695   64.62%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   2,011   35.17%
Write In
Write-In   12   0.21%

23/47 in

[Attorney General & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon]

Candidate   Votes   Percent
Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   6,617   59.26%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   4,482   40.14%
Write In
Write-In   67   0.60%

Obviously not a win, but Kaine lost by 28, and this Dem only lost by 19. Much better performance. I'm pleased.

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

5/13 in
KEN COOMER33.08%664
REP REP   NICKIE LEIGHLY5.73%115
REP REP   MITCHELL SCOGGINS58.50%1,174
REP REP   NATHAN WILSON2.69%54
2,007