AL-Change Research: Moore +6 (final poll) (user search)
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  AL-Change Research: Moore +6 (final poll) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-Change Research: Moore +6 (final poll)  (Read 2256 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,020
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: December 11, 2017, 03:50:20 PM »

Yeah, this race is over. Sorry, Fox, but Moore will (most likely) win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,020
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2017, 03:57:14 PM »

Yeah, this race is over. Sorry, Fox, but Moore will (most likely) win.

I just don’t understand how anyone can be this confident of any result here.

In similar races, like MA '10 and MO '12, all of the late polls showed Brown/McCaskill ahead. Here we're seeing a mixed bag at best for Jones. I stand by my earlier statement that Jones has about a 30% chance of victory, but obviously I'm going to go with the 70% chance Moore has from a prognostication standpoint.
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