AL-Emerson: Moore +14 in primary, Jones trails by 4/3 against Moore/Strange (user search)
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  AL-Emerson: Moore +14 in primary, Jones trails by 4/3 against Moore/Strange (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-Emerson: Moore +14 in primary, Jones trails by 4/3 against Moore/Strange  (Read 2948 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,979
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: September 11, 2017, 12:28:58 PM »

Nice to see a GE poll, but it's crappy Emerson College, so basically worthless.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,979
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2017, 04:50:44 PM »

Jones could win if the Dems really go all in to turnout the black belt. Moore always underperforms polling

Dems have to win more than just the blackbelt + Birmingham to win the state. Mobile, Tuscaloosa, maybe even Huntsville would have to go for them. Plus they would have to cut into the republican margin in places like Baldwin County.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,979
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2017, 05:03:43 PM »

It wouldn't surprise me if 40% is what Jones will get and the rest of the difference between 43-44 and 55-60 for Moore and Strange is supporters of either Moore or Strange saying right now "I don't know if I will vote for Moore/Strange if my guy loses", but 95%+ of those types will come around during a general election campaign.

60%-40% is what Generic R vs. Generic D is in Alabama. I think we can agree that Moore vs. Jones is anything but Generic R vs. Generic D.
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