MO-Remington: GOP sweep (user search)
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  MO-Remington: GOP sweep (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Remington: GOP sweep  (Read 8663 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: July 09, 2017, 12:10:04 PM »

Not surprising. This race is likely R.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2017, 12:37:21 PM »

RIP Devout Centrist, lol.

This, even though the GOP obviously can't take anything for granted.
Btw: Before the McCaskill fanboys try to spin this, Remington's final poll in 2016 was very accurate (Blunt +3). https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250381.0

In any case, this race isn't Lean D, LMAO.

You think "devoted progressive" would poll better?

Devout Centrist is an actual user on Atlas who foolishly thinks that McCaskill is favored.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2017, 01:12:00 PM »

Ik this may be early and GOP leaning, but this aint good for dems any way you look at it. I'm a bit nervous.

The dems were always going to lose senate seats in 2018. McCaskill is dead barring an absolute miracle, and at least one of the other romney state senators will also lose.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2017, 04:40:53 PM »

Why don't we try Jay Nixon again? McCaskill is in critical condition, and could transition to DOA without much difficulty, we don't have much to lose that is not already tilting towards the lost side. It's time for drastic actions.

Just accept that Missouri is gone for Dems.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2017, 05:34:28 PM »

We're over a year away and you guys are proclaiming the outcome from one poll.  Come on, your just going to end up with egg on your face. Also, need I remind everyone of 2006 MO senate polls:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Missouri,_2006

Uh, your point? That Rasmussen poll from July 20 '05 (closest point in the cycle to this poll) says D+3. This is R+6 for the likely nominee.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2017, 05:36:11 PM »

Hey everyone remember when Ron Johnson and Rob Portman and Toomey were supposed to be DOA?  I sure do, and remember the Pryor is safe stuff in 14?  Yea over a year in advance is rather meaningless for senate polls, especially when it comes from such a slanted pollster

Oh and I forgot remember when everyone said she'd be DOA in 12?  Yea about that......

Definitely will be a major race though next year, personally I think neither side will net more than 1

No one called Toomey and Portman DOA. And the Pryor is safe stuff came from the early polling showing him significantly ahead. Meanwhile, McCaskill is already trailing.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2017, 04:48:24 PM »

Please no Jay Nixon.

Please no Jason Kander.

Come to think of it the Democrats best candidate may actually be State Senator Scott Sifton.

McCaskill is in trouble obviously but not DOA yet. But this has been explained 100 times.

Kander is the only candidate who could turn this race into a Toss-Up. With McCaskill it is Likely R, and a lot closer to Safe R than Lean R.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,893
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2017, 05:05:00 PM »

Please no Jay Nixon.

Please no Jason Kander.

Come to think of it the Democrats best candidate may actually be State Senator Scott Sifton.

McCaskill is in trouble obviously but not DOA yet. But this has been explained 100 times.

Kander is the only candidate who could turn this race into a Toss-Up. With McCaskill it is Likely R, and a lot closer to Safe R than Lean R.

You guys here are too obsessed with Jason Kander.

and y'all are sexist! Y'all have McCaskill, Heitkamp and Stabenow as DOA yet think Tester and Brown are totally safe.

I have Heitkamp and Brown at roughly 50-50 odds and Stabenow as a heavy favorite to win.
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